THE PURITAN GIFT weblog

July 26, 2008

FREDDIE AND FANNIE THROUGH PURITAN EYES by Will Hopper

Filed under: Uncategorized — Will Hopper @ 10:40 pm

On page 157 of The Puritan Gift (published in March 2007), Kenneth and I drew attention to the danger that Fannie Mae posed to the economy when we quoted Randy Quarles, undersecretary for finance at the US Treasury, as declaring that ”it posed a ‘systemic risk’ to financial markets”. We also drew attention to the statement by the company’s official regulator, Armando Falcom Jr., to the effect that it had engaged in a “pervasive and willful misapplication of generally accepted accounting principles”. What was true of Fannie was and is also in every sense true of its sibling, Freddie Mac. Fannie and Freddie were ’accidents waiting to happen’. They were also “open secrets”; everyone in Washington knew what was wrong but no politician was willing to say or do anything about it.

The Terrible Twins were abortions; the left-hand or liabilities sides of their balance sheets belonged to the public sector (since the risks were de facto borne by the taxpayer), while the right-hand or asset sides were situated in the private sector (since the outrageous profits arising from this weird arrangement went to the shareholders and managers). The simplest solution is to take them fully but temporarily into the public sector, through custodianship; and then, when they have been cleansed and healed (a procedure which might take a year), to launch them fully into the private sector, where they truly belong, possibly by selling off their portfolios. The first step is to get rid of their current disatrous management teams, while recovering for the benefit of the unfortunate taxpayer as much as possible of the ill-gotten gains which have accrued to them. Some attempt might also be made to recover some of the money spent by those managers on so-called public relations.

THE PURITAN GIFT argues that in recent decades there has been a serious failure of management in the United States affecting many aspects of government and society . The Terrible Twins constitute egregious examples of this weakness.

July 2, 2008

PROFESSIONAL MANAGERS DESTROYING A SOUND BUSINESS

Filed under: Uncategorized — Will Hopper @ 3:24 pm

We invited Will Treasure, director at Javelin Group to send us an initial thought to kick-off our weblog. This is what we received from him:

Is Barratt Developments an example of ‘professional managers’ destroying a sound business? Chief Executive Mark Clare joined in 2006 from Centrica, where he had spent the last 12 years. Finance Director Mark Pain arrived earlier that year from Abbey National, where he was finance chief. By contrast, Clare’s predecessor David Pretty has spent his entire life in the building industry.

In 2007, Clare and Pain bought Wilson Bowden for £2.2bn, leaving Barratt with £1.7bn debt. Now, as the housing market faces a massive downturn, Barratt looks very vulnerable. Attempts to sell parts of Wilson Bowden have not been successful. The share price has collapsed by 91%. It is touch and go whether the loan covenants will be broken. Investors are furious that Clare has gambled away Barratt’s legacy. Barratt may not survive as an independent business.

You can take one of two views:

  • Clare and Pain were unlucky – and indeed, who would have predicted such a sharp downturn in building?  Investors and the analyst community applauded the deal at the time.
  • Clare and Pain focused on financial engineering to grow the business, rather than organic growth. They did not realise the risks they were taking, because they had no background in the industry.  They did not take the time to understand their business and industry dynamics. In short, they are an excellent example of the ‘professional manager’ 

Will Treasure, Will.treasure@javelingroup.com

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